Sarah Palin and the Michele Bachmann Factor

by Robert Arvay

Now that Michele Bachmann’s candidacy for the presidency is in full gear, those of us who support Sarah Palin recognize that there is a problem. Most of us love and respect Michele as a strong conservative woman of principle, but we prefer Sarah for the White House.Governor Sarah Palin

Yes,we are torn. Many people who might favor Sarah are instead drawn to Michelle first. The vote may well be split between them, and that could be a disaster of Mitt Romney proportions.

How this rivalry plays out will be a test of both women’s character. Will either or both of them be willing to yield to the other for the good of the conservative movement? Can they, like the Army and Navy, fight tooth and nail on the football field, but join forces in the war?

Will a primary contest between them leave both bloodied, bruised and unsustainable even as vice presidential choices for a male nominee?

It is very difficult to imagine Sarah Palin accepting a role as a vice presidential candidate again. She’s been there, done that. I don’t think anyone has ever been a VP candidate twice in succession for two different presidential candidates. Michelle might be advised against signing on to a VP choice that lost before, and will not likely bring in new voters anyway.

Rep. Michelle BachmannMichelle Bachmann has proved her mettle on the debate field and might resent a late challenge from Sarah. Even if it is not personal resentment, Michelle’s performance in the debate and rise in the polls has most assuredly reinforced her belief that she can defeat Obama. Also, she may sincerely feel that Sarah would lose.

I am a die-hard Sarah Palin loyalist and if Sarah chooses to run, I will support her wholeheartedly. However, now that Michele has announced, the prospects of a Palin victory have surely been changed. We must not permit our emotions to cloud our better judgment.

Surely, Sarah Palin is no stranger to crisis and difficult situations. I have to believe that she watched the debate and the polls and will carefully go through all the details and ramifications of a run before making a decision.

It was pointed out to me that in 2008, Senator John McCain got the nomination because the conservative vote was split in the primary. If Romney, Huckabee and Giuliani had pooled their vote to only one of their number, McCain might have lost, and Obama might have been defeated.

Even if that is not the case, it may well be true between Sarah and Michele. That is why I believe it is vital that Sarah make her decision in enough time to communicate with Michlle. If Sarah runs, they must quickly form a pact as to how they will decide on where to go after Iowa, certainly after New Hampshire, where actual delegates will be won or lost.

If Sarah decides not to run, my hope is that she will strongly support Michele. As disappointed as I will be, Michelle is, in my opinion, far superior to the other Republicans now in the race.

While I don’t think that Sarah will accept a VP slot, I know she could be an awesome Secretary of Energy and a future contender for president when Hillary decides to run.

But let’s see what happens. Sarah may well run, Michele may yield, and both of them will become game changers on the American scene. Or Sarah may yield, and run for president eight years from now.

Thinking of Maggie Thatcher, anyone?

Robert Arvay is a Contributing Writer to The Patriot’s Notepad

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